Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Sarmiento and Talleres.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Talleres |
| 35.02% | 27.17% | 37.81% |
| Both teams to score 50.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.89% | 55.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.64% | 76.36% |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.08% | 29.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.98% | 66.02% |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% | 28.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% | 63.93% |
| Score Analysis |
Sarmiento 35.01%
Talleres 37.81%
Draw 27.17%
| Sarmiento | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 6.15% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 10.68% 1-2 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 6.76% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.87% Total : 37.81% |


