Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 4, 2022 at 9pm UK
Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona
Estudiantes

Arsenal
2 - 1
Estudiantes

Colman (4'), Picco (58')
Picco (13'), Medina (41'), Perez (48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zapiola (40')
Lollo (26'), Morel (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Sarandi

Last Six:
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-1 Arsenal
Monday, June 27 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Estudiantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Estudiantes
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Sarandi win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Sarandi would win this match.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawEstudiantes
40.64% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)29.12% (0.012 0.01)30.24% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 43.61% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.08% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)62.92% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.59% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)82.41% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)30.4% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (-0.061 -0.06)66.59% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.65% (0.031999999999996 0.03)37.35% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87% (0.032 0.03)74.13% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 40.63%
    Estudiantes 30.24%
    Draw 29.11%
Arsenal SarandiDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 13.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.005 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.0039999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 40.63%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.11%
0-1 @ 11.18% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.51% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 30.24%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Estudiantes

Arsenal Sarandi
44.4%
Draw
27.8%
Estudiantes
27.8%
18
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 8pm
Estudiantes
3-2
Arsenal
Pellegrini (50'), Diaz (67'), Boselli (78')
Morel (45+4'), Pellegrini (76')
Ibanez (53'), Lomonaco (70')
Miloc (18'), Brochero (36'), Lomonaco (70'), Goni (72'), Pitton (81')
Aug 2, 2021 11pm
Estudiantes
4-0
Arsenal
Godoy (61'), Noguera (72'), Castro (75'), Diaz (90+2')

Medina (60'), Castro (71'), Albertengo (74')
Mar 7, 2021 8.10pm
Arsenal
0-5
Estudiantes

Ruiz (75')
Diaz (3' pen., 53'), Gonzalez (17'), Sanchez Mino (43'), Cauteruccio (62')
Sep 28, 2019 7.30pm
Arsenal
3-0
Estudiantes
Maximiliano Alvarez Suarez (19' pen.), Torrent Guidi (33'), Cruz Kaprof (67')
Ramiro Papa (42'), Torrent Guidi (44'), Alvarez Suarez (59')

Fernandez (10')
rhs 2.0


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