Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.