Brasileiro | Gameweek 16

Jul 10, 2022 at 10pm UK

Castelao

Fortaleza
0 - 0
Palmeiras

Rony (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

Last Six:

Last Game: Palmeiras 5-0 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.15pm in Copa Libertadores

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Palmeiras	15	15	29
2	Atletico Mineiro	15	7	27
3	Fluminense	16	7	27

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 45.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.05%) and 1-2 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-0 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Palmeiras
26.61% ( 0.06)	27.53% ( -0.02)	45.86% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 45.89% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.9% (

0.12)

59.1% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.45% (

0.09)

79.55% (

-0.09)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.81% (

0.11)

38.19% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.05% (

0.11)

74.95% (

-0.11)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.24% (

0.04)

25.76% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.3% (

0.05)

60.7% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 26.61%

Palmeiras 45.85%

Draw 27.53%

Fortaleza	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 26.61%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.53%	0-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.39% 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 45.85%