Ceara
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2020 at 11pm UK
Castelao
Fortaleza

Ceara
1 - 0
Fortaleza

Vinicius (44')
Vinicius (70'), Charles (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Felipe (71'), Vazquez (74')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Fortaleza.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ceara in this match.

Result
CearaDrawFortaleza
41.55%28.01%30.45%
Both teams to score 46.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.88%59.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.44%79.56%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98%28.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.33%63.67%
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87%35.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.12%71.88%
Score Analysis
    Ceara 41.55%
    Fortaleza 30.44%
    Draw 28.01%
CearaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.52%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 7.97%
3-1 @ 3.53%
3-0 @ 3.38%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 41.55%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 10.29%
1-2 @ 6.85%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 30.44%