Vitoria
3 - 4
Ceara

Ceara (8'), Carleto (16'), Caicedo (65')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Vinicius (45+2' pen.), Carleto (48' og.), Sobral (61'), Lima (88')
Rigon Matos (30'), Charles (30')

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Stage clash between Vitoria and Ceara.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Ceara win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Ceara
43.34%	27.55%	29.11%

Both teams to score 47.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.02%

57.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.33%

78.67%

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.47%

26.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.27%

61.72%

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.46%

35.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.69%

72.3%

Score Analysis

Vitoria 43.33%

Ceara 29.11%

Draw 27.55%

Vitoria	Draw	Ceara
1-0 @ 12.5% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.03% Total : 43.33%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.55%	0-1 @ 9.75% 1-2 @ 6.7% 0-2 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.74% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.03% Total : 29.11%

Vitoria3 - 4Ceara

Data Analysis

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Vitoria
3 - 4
Ceara