Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jorge Wilstermann win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Everton had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jorge Wilstermann win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.76%) and 3-1 (5.42%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.