Junior
3 - 0
Fluminense

Moreno (10'), Borja (45+2' pen.), Sambueza (90+5')
Giraldo (45+4'), Borja (49'), Cabrera (50'), Hinestroza (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cristiano (23'), Yago (25'), Manoel (49'), Martinelli (90+5')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Atletico Junior and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Junior

Last Game: Junior 0-4 Union
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.

Result
Atletico Junior	Draw	Fluminense
41.11%	24.59%	34.3%

Both teams to score 58.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.91%

44.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.53%

66.47%

Atletico Junior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.51%

21.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.46%

54.54%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95%

25.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28%

59.72%

Score Analysis

Atletico Junior 41.11%

Fluminense 34.3%

Draw 24.58%

Atletico Junior	Draw	Fluminense
2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.11%	1-1 @ 11.45% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.58%	1-2 @ 7.93% 0-1 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 5.16% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.3%