Junior
3 - 1
La Equidad

(Atletico Junior win 3-1 on aggregate)

Borja (5'), Gonzalez (36'), Cabrera (80' pen.)
Moreno (41')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Javier Chaverra Angulo (18'), Chaverra (18')
Correa (45+1'), Motta (67'), Felipe Roman Palacios (69'), Roman (69')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Atletico Junior and La Equidad.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Junior

Last Game: Junior 0-4 Union
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

La Equidad

Last Game: Junior 3-1 La Equidad
Friday, March 18 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Equidad win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a La Equidad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Junior	Draw	La Equidad
36.16%	24.71%	39.13%

Both teams to score 58.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.62%

44.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.25%

66.74%

Atletico Junior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.87%

24.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.56%

58.44%

La Equidad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.42%

22.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.82%

56.18%

Score Analysis

Atletico Junior 36.16%

La Equidad 39.13%

Draw 24.71%

Atletico Junior	Draw	La Equidad
2-1 @ 8.19% 1-0 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 2.89% 3-0 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.03% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2% Total : 36.16%	1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 8.58% 0-1 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 4.26% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.13%