Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 30, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

La Equidad
2 - 1
Aragua

Colina (17'), Mario Rodriguez Torres (54'), Mario Rodriguez (54'), Alexander Manrique Laorca (72')
Fuentes (18'), Pacheco Mejia (32'), Pacheco (32'), Alejandro Guerrero Corredor (34'), Alexander Yustiz Linarez (60'), Colina (60'), Alejandro Mahecha Molina (74'), Mahecha (74'), Zapata (88'), Fernando Herazo Moreno (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Manrique (72')
Guerrero (34'), Yustiz (60'), Zapata (88')
Perez (83')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between La Equidad and Aragua.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aragua win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for La Equidad had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aragua win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.57%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest La Equidad win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
La EquidadDrawAragua
35.82%23.21%40.97%
Both teams to score 64.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.9%37.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.7%59.29%
La Equidad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79%21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.23%53.77%
Aragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.4%18.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.12%49.88%
Score Analysis
    La Equidad 35.82%
    Aragua 40.97%
    Draw 23.21%
La EquidadDrawAragua
2-1 @ 8%
1-0 @ 6.09%
2-0 @ 4.76%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-2 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 35.82%
1-1 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.9%
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 8.62%
0-1 @ 6.57%
0-2 @ 5.52%
1-3 @ 4.84%
2-3 @ 3.77%
0-3 @ 3.1%
1-4 @ 2.03%
2-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 40.97%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!