Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 21, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez

Lanus
4 - 1
La Equidad

Sand (45', 64'), Acosta (51'), De la Vega (79')
Bernabei (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Herazo (77')
Mahecha (43'), Pacheco (45'), Herazo (56'), Lima (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Lanus and La Equidad.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for La Equidad had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.89%) and 1-0 (5.73%). The likeliest La Equidad win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawLa Equidad
47.9%21.63%30.46%
Both teams to score 68.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.76%31.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.33%52.67%
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.31%13.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.08%40.91%
La Equidad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94%21.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.13%53.87%
Score Analysis
    Lanus 47.9%
    La Equidad 30.46%
    Draw 21.63%
LanusDrawLa Equidad
2-1 @ 8.88%
3-1 @ 5.89%
1-0 @ 5.73%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-2 @ 4.59%
3-0 @ 3.78%
4-1 @ 2.93%
4-2 @ 2.28%
4-0 @ 1.88%
4-3 @ 1.18%
5-1 @ 1.16%
5-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 47.9%
1-1 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 6.92%
0-0 @ 2.88%
3-3 @ 2.38%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.63%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-1 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 3.59%
0-2 @ 3.5%
0-3 @ 1.82%
1-4 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 1.4%
3-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.46%

rhs 2.0


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