La Equidad
0 - 0
Junior

(Atletico Junior win 3-1 on aggregate)

Andres Camacho Valencia (51'), Camacho (51'), Mahecha (61'), Rivas (80'), Palacios Vidal (90+3'), Palacios (90+3')

Fuentes (21'), Rosero (62')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between La Equidad and Atletico Junior.

Form, Standings, Stats

La Equidad

Last Game: Junior 3-1 La Equidad
Friday, March 18 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Atletico Junior

Last Game: Junior 0-4 Union
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Equidad win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 37.75% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a La Equidad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
La Equidad	Draw	Atletico Junior
38.28%	23.97%	37.75%

Both teams to score 61.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.29%

40.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.9%

63.09%

La Equidad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.61%

21.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.63%

54.37%

Atletico Junior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35%

21.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22%

54.78%

Score Analysis

La Equidad 38.28%

Atletico Junior 37.75%

Draw 23.96%

La Equidad	Draw	Atletico Junior
2-1 @ 8.43% 1-0 @ 7.14% 2-0 @ 5.51% 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.68% Total : 38.28%	1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 6.45% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 8.36% 0-1 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.75%