Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Sep 29, 2020 at 12am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Coritiba

Fluminense
4 - 0
Coritiba

Araujo (8'), Felippe Cardoso dos Santos (61'), Nino (72'), Ganso (87' pen.)
Barcelos (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Matheus (58')
Moreira Milouski (87')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Coritiba.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 44.38%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawCoritiba
44.38%28.29%27.32%
Both teams to score 44.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.7%61.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.78%81.21%
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47%27.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.95%63.05%
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2%38.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46%75.54%
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 44.38%
    Coritiba 27.32%
    Draw 28.29%
FluminenseDrawCoritiba
1-0 @ 13.78%
2-0 @ 8.89%
2-1 @ 8.41%
3-0 @ 3.82%
3-1 @ 3.62%
3-2 @ 1.71%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 44.38%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 10.68%
2-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.29%
0-1 @ 10.11%
1-2 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 4.79%
1-3 @ 1.95%
0-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 27.32%