Fluminense
2 - 1
Junior

Ganso (4', 5'), Henrique (73', 74')
Nino (13'), Nino (14'), Ganso (41'), Ganso (42'), Fred (74'), Fred (75'), Nathan (82'), Nathan (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Borja (55', 56')
Giraldo (13'), Giraldo (14'), Albornoz (68'), Albornoz (69'), Hinestroza (70'), Hinestroza (71'), Carlos Serje Orozco (78'), Serje (79'), Arias (87'), Arias (88')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Fluminense and Atletico Junior.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Junior

Last Six:

Last Game: Junior 0-4 Union
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 47.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 25.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for an Atletico Junior win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Atletico Junior
47.54%	27.32%	25.13%

Both teams to score 45.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.74%

59.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.33%

79.66%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.99%

25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.33%

59.66%

Atletico Junior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.43%

39.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.74%

76.25%

Score Analysis

Fluminense 47.53%

Atletico Junior 25.13%

Draw 27.32%

Fluminense	Draw	Atletico Junior
1-0 @ 13.71% 2-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 8.81% 3-0 @ 4.39% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-1 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.53%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.32%	0-1 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 5.89% 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 1.82% 0-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.42% Total : 25.13%