Oriente
1 - 3
Junior

Guaycochea (51')
Garcia (38'), Daniel Roca Avellaneda (48'), Roca (48'), Caire (90+3'), Daniel Quinonez (90+6'), Quinonez (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Albornoz (36', 66'), Hinestroza (90+7')
Moreno (23'), Rosero (30'), Albornoz (43'), Arias (49')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Oriente Petrolero and Atletico Junior.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oriente Petrolero

Last Game: Oriente 1-10 Fluminense
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Atletico Junior

Last Game: Junior 0-4 Union
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.

Result
Oriente Petrolero	Draw	Atletico Junior
35.89%	25.06%	39.05%

Both teams to score 57.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.02%

45.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.72%

68.28%

Oriente Petrolero Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.98%

25.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.31%

59.69%

Atletico Junior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.67%

23.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.72%

57.28%

Score Analysis

Oriente Petrolero 35.89%

Atletico Junior 39.05%

Draw 25.05%

Oriente Petrolero	Draw	Atletico Junior
2-1 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 5.6% 3-1 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.89%	1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05%	1-2 @ 8.57% 0-1 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 4.16% 0-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.12% Total : 39.05%