Oriente
3 - 0
Royal Pari

(Oriente Petrolero win 6-2 on aggregate)

Suarez (65', 84'), Zazpe (90+5')
Ribera (11'), Sanchez (22')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Justiniano (13'), Virreira (33'), Orfano (51')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Oriente Petrolero and Royal Pari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oriente Petrolero

Last Game: Oriente 1-10 Fluminense
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Royal Pari

Last Game: Oriente 3-0 Royal Pari
Tuesday, March 15 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oriente Petrolero win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Royal Pari had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oriente Petrolero win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Royal Pari win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oriente Petrolero would win this match.

Result
Oriente Petrolero	Draw	Royal Pari
42.96%	25.14%	31.89%

Both teams to score 56.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.71%

47.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.48%

69.51%

Oriente Petrolero Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.01%

21.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.71%

55.28%

Royal Pari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.93%

28.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.27%

63.72%

Score Analysis

Oriente Petrolero 42.96%

Royal Pari 31.89%

Draw 25.14%

Oriente Petrolero	Draw	Royal Pari
1-0 @ 9.35% 2-1 @ 9% 2-0 @ 7.08% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.96%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 7.84% 1-2 @ 7.55% 0-2 @ 4.98% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.89%