Copa Libertadores | First Round
Mar 4, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Rogelio Lorenzo Livieres

Guarani
1 - 1
Royal Pari

Benitez (58')
Florentin (20'), Benitez (33'), Fernandez (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Florentin (74' og.)
Nahuel Ursino Pegolo (23'), Ursino (23'), Siles (55'), Castillo (56')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Club Guarani and Royal Pari.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Guarani win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Royal Pari had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Guarani win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Royal Pari win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
Club GuaraniDrawRoyal Pari
55.17%23%21.83%
Both teams to score 54.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.58%45.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.24%67.76%
Club Guarani Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.67%16.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.08%45.92%
Royal Pari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.09%34.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.35%71.65%
Score Analysis
    Club Guarani 55.17%
    Royal Pari 21.83%
    Draw 23%
Club GuaraniDrawRoyal Pari
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 9.36%
3-1 @ 5.95%
3-0 @ 5.66%
3-2 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2.7%
4-0 @ 2.56%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-1 @ 0.98%
5-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 55.17%
1-1 @ 10.87%
0-0 @ 5.7%
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 6%
1-2 @ 5.72%
0-2 @ 3.16%
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 21.83%