Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 27, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Tahuichi Aguilera
Fluminense

Oriente
1 - 10
Fluminense

Alvarez Vargas (15')
Suarez (10'), Saucedo Zeballos (35'), Guaycochea (48'), Mercado (61'), Salces (72')
FT(HT: 1-6)
Martins (1', 40', 54'), Cano (9', 13', 58'), Arias (17'), Paulista (36'), Manoel (66'), Willian (75')
Willian (23'), Claro (32'), Cristiano (49')
Nonato (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Oriente Petrolero and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Oriente 1-10 Fluminense
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Fluminense 5-3 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fluminense vs. Atletico GO
Saturday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%).

Result
Oriente PetroleroDrawFluminense
28.41% (0.053000000000001 0.05)24.02% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)47.56% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.94% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (0.111 0.11)44.03% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (0.108 0.11)66.41% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)
Oriente Petrolero Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (0.094999999999999 0.09)28.78% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.38% (0.11799999999999 0.12)64.62% (-0.116 -0.12)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.030000000000001 0.03)18.65% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.02% (0.048000000000002 0.05)49.97% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Oriente Petrolero 28.41%
    Fluminense 47.56%
    Draw 24.02%
Oriente PetroleroDrawFluminense
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.69% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 28.41%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 7.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 4.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 47.56%

How you voted: Oriente vs Fluminense

Oriente Petrolero
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Fluminense
100%
6
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2022 11.15pm
Fluminense
3-0
Oriente
Cristiano (30'), Arias (39'), Zazpe (73' og.)
Xavier (4'), Andre (44')

Mercado (30'), Caire (81')