Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 18, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez

Junior
2 - 0
Oriente

Borja (23' pen., 28')
Rosero (32'), Arias (53'), Angel (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sandoval (77')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Atletico Junior and Oriente Petrolero.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Junior

Last Game: Junior 0-4 Union
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Oriente Petrolero

Last Game: Oriente 1-10 Fluminense
Friday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.

Result
Atletico Junior	Draw	Oriente Petrolero
45.8% ( -0)	24.36% ( -0)	29.84% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.73% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.27% (

0.03)

44.72% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.91% (

0.03)

67.09% (

-0.03)

Atletico Junior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

0.01)

19.66% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.37% (

0.02)

51.63% (

-0.02)

Oriente Petrolero Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85% (

0.02)

28.15% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17% (

0.03)

63.83% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Atletico Junior 45.8%

Oriente Petrolero 29.84%

Draw 24.36%

Atletico Junior	Draw	Oriente Petrolero
2-1 @ 9.28% 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 45.8%	1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.36%	1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.84%