Copa Sudamericana
May 18, 2022 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez
  • Miguel Borja 23' goal
  • Miguel Borja 28' goal
  • Dany Rosero 32' yellowcard
  • Jorge Arias 53' yellowcard
  • Fabian Angel 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Sandoval 77'

Atletico Junior vs Oriente Petrolero - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Junior

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 5, 2022 1.30am
Fluminense 2 - 1 Junior

Oriente Petrolero

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 5, 2022 11.15pm
Union 2 - 0 Oriente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Oriente Petrolero had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Oriente Petrolero win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Junior would win this match.

Result

Atletico Junior 45.8% (-0.01)
Draw 24.36% (-0.01)
Oriente Petrolero 29.84% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.73% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.27% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.72% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.91% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.09% (-0.04)

Atletico Junior Goals

Over 0.5 80.34% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 19.66% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 48.37% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 51.63% (-0.03)

Oriente Petrolero Goals

Over 0.5 71.85% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 28.15% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 36.17% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 63.83% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Atletico Junior 45.8%
Draw 24.36%
Oriente Petrolero 29.84%
Atletico Junior
2-1 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 9% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.32% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.03% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 45.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 5.88% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.36%
Oriente Petrolero
1-2 @ 7.23% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.01% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.06% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 29.84%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 29, 2022 1.30am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas
  • Raymundo Garcia 38' yellowcard
  • Carlos Daniel Roca Avellaneda 48' yellowcard
  • Carlos Roca 48' yellowcard
  • Luciano Guaycochea 51' goal
  • Maximiliano Caire 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Wilson Daniel Quinonez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Wilson Quinonez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Didier Moreno 23'
  • yellowcard Dany Rosero 30'
  • goal Omar Albornoz 36'
  • yellowcard Omar Albornoz 43'
  • yellowcard Jorge Arias 49'
  • goal Omar Albornoz 66'
  • goal Fredy Hinestroza 90'+7'