Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Santos had a probability of 8.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.43%) and 3-0 (10.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.