/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fsanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F34%2Fbotlog.png)
-
Vinicius Zanocelo
21'
-
Leo Baptistao
33'
-
Felipe Jonatan
45'+2'
-
Marcos Leonardo
77'
-
Fernando Marcal
20'
-
Renzo Saravia
45'
-
Luis Castro
45'+2'
Santos vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F32%2Fsanlib.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
Result
Santos
54.94%
▼
(-0.27)
Draw
25.21%
▲
(+0.11)
Botafogo
19.85%
▲
(+0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
45.11%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.58%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
56.42%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
22.57%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
77.43%
▲
(+0.15)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5
79.45%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 0.5
20.54%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 1.5
46.94%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 1.5
53.06%
▲
(+0.28)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5
56.77%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
43.23%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
20.51%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
79.48%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Santos
54.93%
Draw
25.2%
Botafogo
19.85%
Santos
1-0
@
14.05%
▲
(+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.12% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 54.93%
2-0 @ 11.12% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.92% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 54.93%
Draw
1-1
@
11.78%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.2%
0-0 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 3.91% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.2%
Botafogo
0-1
@
7.45%
▲
(+0.07)
1-2 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 19.85%
1-2 @ 4.94% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 19.85%
