Brasileiro | Gameweek 18

Jul 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Vila Belmiro, Santos

Santos
2 - 0
Botafogo

Baptistao (33'), Leonardo (77')
Zanocelo (21'), Jonatan (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Marcal (20'), Saravia (45'), Castro (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Santos and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 19.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.

Result
Santos	Draw	Botafogo
54.94% ( -0.26)	25.21% ( 0.1)	19.85% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 45.11% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.58% (

-0.18)

56.42% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.57% (

-0.14)

77.43% (

0.14)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.45% (

-0.18)

20.54% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.94% (

-0.28)

53.06% (

0.28)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.77% (

0.08)

43.23% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.51% (

0.06)

79.48% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Santos 54.93%

Botafogo 19.85%

Draw 25.2%

Santos	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 14.05% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 54.93%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 19.85%