Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 54.55%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.