MX23RW : Monday, April 29 12:06:15| >> :60:72:72:
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 8, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Antônio Accioly

Atletico GO
2 - 0
Olimpia

Churin (4'), Airton (8')
Airton (78')
FT
(aet)

Cardozo (39'), Ortiz (47'), Quintana (74'), Zarate (90+3')
Atletico GO win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Atletico Goianiense and Olimpia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Olimpia 2-0 Atletico GO
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We say: Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Olimpia

A lack of scoring depth has plagued Goianiense throughout the season, which is why they are in their current predicament and it could be a struggle for them again this week. It is hard to envision Dragao scoring multiple goals against a side as well-drilled and organised as Olimpia, and we therefore expect the Paraguayans to advance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.

Result
Atletico GoianienseDrawOlimpia
48.39% (0.037000000000006 0.04) 25.08% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.53% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.97% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.12% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)49.87% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)71.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.63% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)53.2% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.74% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)33.25% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.13% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)69.86% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Goianiense 48.38%
    Olimpia 26.53%
    Draw 25.08%
Atletico GoianienseDrawOlimpia
1-0 @ 10.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.55% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 48.38%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 26.53%

How you voted: Atletico GO vs Olimpia

Atletico Goianiense
53.3%
Draw
33.3%
Olimpia
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Jul 1, 2022 1.30am
Olimpia
2-0
Atletico GO
Gonzalez (36'), Silva (56')
Torres (47'), Silva (54'), Otalvaro (88')

Hayner (15'), Churin (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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