Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 8, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Antônio Accioly

Atletico GO
2 - 0
Olimpia

Churin (4'), Airton (8')
Airton (78')
FT
(aet)

Cardozo (39'), Ortiz (47'), Quintana (74'), Zarate (90+3')
Atletico GO win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Atletico Goianiense and Olimpia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Goianiense

Last Six:
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Olimpia

Last Six:
    Last Game: Olimpia 2-0 Atletico GO
    Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

    The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.

    Result
    Atletico GoianienseDrawOlimpia
    48.39% (0.037000000000006 0.04)25.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)26.53% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
    Both teams to score 52.97% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    50.12% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)49.87% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    28.13% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)71.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
    Atletico Goianiense Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    79.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.63% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    46.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)53.2% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
    Olimpia Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    66.74% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)33.25% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    30.13% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)69.86% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
    Score Analysis
        Atletico Goianiense 48.38%
        Olimpia 26.53%
        Draw 25.08%
    Atletico GoianienseDrawOlimpia
    1-0 @ 10.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
    2-1 @ 9.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
    2-0 @ 8.55% (0.012 0.01)
    3-1 @ 4.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    3-0 @ 4.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    4-1 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
    4-0 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
    Other @ 2.63%
    Total : 48.38%
    		1-1 @ 11.92%
    0-0 @ 6.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
    2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    3-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
    Other @ 0.12%
    Total : 25.08%
    		0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
    1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
    0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
    2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
    0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
    Other @ 2.42%
    Total : 26.53%

    How you voted: Atletico GO vs Olimpia

    Atletico Goianiense
    53.3%
    Draw
    33.3%
    Olimpia
    13.3%
    15
    Head to Head
    Jul 1, 2022 1.30am
    Olimpia
    2-0
    Atletico GO
    Gonzalez (36'), Silva (56')
    Torres (47'), Silva (54'), Otalvaro (88')

    Hayner (15'), Churin (90+5')