Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio Serra Dourada
Sao Paulo

Atletico GO
1 - 2
Sao Paulo

Freitas (30' pen.)
Ramon (20'), Baralhas (23'), Jefferson (35'), Shaylon (52'), Edson (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Luciano (24' pen., 62')
Diego (28'), Calleri (29'), Welington (37'), Nestor (39'), Pele (54'), Luciano (73'), Neves (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Goianiense and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Goianiense

Last Six:
Last Game: Olimpia 2-0 Atletico GO
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Sao Paulo

Last Six:
Last Game: Catolica 2-4 Sao Paulo
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Atletico GoianienseDrawSao Paulo
40.35% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)28.25% (0.062000000000001 0.06)31.4% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 46.34% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.28% (-0.236 -0.24)59.72% (0.237 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.97% (-0.181 -0.18)80.02% (0.182 0.18)
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (-0.11800000000001 -0.12)28.98% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (-0.145 -0.14)64.88% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (-0.17 -0.17)34.75% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (-0.178 -0.18)71.47% (0.178 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Goianiense 40.35%
    Sao Paulo 31.39%
    Draw 28.25%
Atletico GoianienseDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.47% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 40.35%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.07% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 10.64% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 31.39%

How you voted: Atletico GO vs Sao Paulo

Atletico Goianiense
18.8%
Draw
25.0%
Sao Paulo
56.3%
32
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 8pm
Sao Paulo
2-1
Atletico GO
Rigoni (36'), Luciano (56')
Pele (83')
Barbosa (71')
Maranhao (27'), Natanael (86')
Jun 5, 2021 11pm
Atletico GO
2-0
Sao Paulo
Eder (23'), Paulo (79')
Natanael (30'), Maranhao (70'), Lucao (76'), Janderson (82')

Vinicius (14'), Pele (69'), Reinaldo (83'), Nestor (85'), Volpi (89')
Jan 31, 2021 7pm
Atletico GO
2-1
Sao Paulo
Natanael (21'), Vitor (88')
Roberto (10'), Maranhao (32'), Vitor (89')
Reinaldo (40')
Oct 8, 2020 12.30am
Sao Paulo
3-0
Atletico GO
Brenner (45+2', 71'), Sara (65')
Reinaldo (21'), Alves (43'), Sara (78')

Gilvan (41'), Hyuri (90')