Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Jun 30, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estádio Raimundo Sampaio

America Mineiro
3 - 0
Botafogo

(America Mineiro win 5-0 on aggregate)

Paulista (6'), Avelar (35'), Egea (59')
Eder (53'), Paulista (56')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Saravia (70'), Jefinho (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between America Mineiro and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that America Mineiro would win this match.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Botafogo
42.17% ( 0.17)	26.44% ( 0.01)	31.39% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 51.69% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.06% (

-0.1)

52.93% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.46% (

-0.09)

74.54% (

0.09)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.16% (

0.04)

24.84% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.57% (

0.06)

59.43% (

-0.05)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.77% (

-0.17)

31.22% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.43% (

-0.2)

67.57% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 42.16%

Botafogo 31.39%

Draw 26.44%

America Mineiro	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 42.16%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.44%	0-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.39%