Avai
Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 16, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio da Ressacada
Santos

Avai
1 - 0
Santos

Bissoli (10' pen.)
Silva (16'), Cortez (16'), Eduardo (40'), Raniele (65'), Bissoli (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leonardo (27'), Baptistao (56'), Eduardo (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Avai and Santos, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Avai

Last Six:
Last Game: Bragantino 4-0 Avai
Saturday, July 9 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro

Santos

Last Six:
Last Game: Santos 1-0 Corinthians
Thursday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avai win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Santos had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avai win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Avai in this match.

Result
AvaiDrawSantos
40.62% (-0.165 -0.16)28.9% (0.053999999999998 0.05)30.48% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 44.27% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.85% (-0.144 -0.14)62.14% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.16% (-0.105 -0.11)81.84% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98% (-0.167 -0.17)30.01% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (-0.204 -0.2)66.14% (0.206 0.21)
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26% (0.009999999999998 0.01)36.74% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.47% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)73.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Avai 40.62%
    Santos 30.47%
    Draw 28.88%
AvaiDrawSantos
1-0 @ 13.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 40.62%
1-1 @ 13.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.02% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.88%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.53% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 30.47%

How you voted: Avai vs Santos

Avai
25.0%
Draw
20.0%
Santos
55.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2019 12am
Avai
1-2
Santos
Paulo (35')
Luanderson (38'), Leo (52'), Franco (73'), Igor (82'), Gege (93')
Leo (85')
Sasha (9'), Marinho (24')
Henrique (45'), Felipe (75')
Henrique (62')
Jul 28, 2019 8pm
Santos
3-1
Avai
Gonzalez (9'), Sanchez (33'), Jonatan (78')
Alison (15'), Uribe (78')
Paulo (28')
Marquinhos (51'), Leo (54')