Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Jul 14, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estádio Urbano Caldeira

Santos
1 - 0
Corinthians

(Corinthians win 4-1 on aggregate)

Leonardo (67' pen.)
Fernandez (84'), Leonardo (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Queiroz (26'), Melo (40'), Gustavo (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between Santos and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.

Result
Santos	Draw	Corinthians
53.84% ( 1.33)	26.2% ( -0)	19.96% ( -1.33)

Both teams to score 42.7% (

-1.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.32% (

-1.27)

59.68% (

1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20% (

-0.98)

79.99% (

0.98)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.66% (

0.04)

22.33% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.18% (

0.06)

55.81% (

-0.06)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.98% (

-2.18)

45.02% (

2.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.05% (

-1.79)

80.95% (

1.79)

Score Analysis

Santos 53.83%

Corinthians 19.96%

Draw 26.18%

Santos	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 15.07% ( 0.72) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 53.83%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.52% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.7% Total : 19.96%