Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.