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Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 6, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando
Corinthians

Boca Juniors
0 - 0
Corinthians


Varela (47')
FT

Gustavo (29'), Gil (59')
Corinthians win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Boca Juniors and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

Last Six:
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-3 Banfield
Saturday, July 2 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Corinthians

Last Six:
Last Game: Fluminense 4-0 Corinthians
Saturday, July 2 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 46.33%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.39%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawCorinthians
46.33% (0.049000000000007 0.05)29.76% (0.012 0.01)23.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 38.48% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.62% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)67.38% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.48% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)85.52% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.47% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)65.48% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.56% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)45.44% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.72% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)81.28% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 46.33%
    Corinthians 23.9%
    Draw 29.75%
Boca JuniorsDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 16.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 46.33%
0-0 @ 13.39% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-1 @ 12.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 29.75%
0-1 @ 10.56%
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 23.9%

How you voted: Boca Juniors vs Corinthians

Boca Juniors
51.4%
Draw
29.7%
Corinthians
18.9%
37
Head to Head
Jun 29, 2022 1.30am
Corinthians
0-0
Boca Juniors

Roni (45+1'), Piton (62'), Victor (68')

Rojo (40'), Villa (44'), Varela (81')
May 18, 2022 1.30am
Boca Juniors
1-1
Corinthians
Benedetto (42')
Varela (63'), Benedetto (67'), Fernandez (70')
Queiroz (16')
Jo (22'), Bambu (47'), Augusto (60'), Mantuan (65'), Gustavo (67'), Santos (90+4')
Cantillo (69'), Gustavo (71')
Apr 27, 2022 1.30am
Corinthians
2-0
Boca Juniors
Maycon (5', 78')
Fagner (32'), Augusto (33'), Queiroz (36'), Gustavo (37'), Victor (63')

Medina (37'), Benedetto (63'), Fabra (74'), Aranda (86')