Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Union had a probability of 17.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Union
58.63% ( 0.92)	24.03% ( -0.31)	17.34% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 44.28% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.7% (

0.29)

55.3% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.48% (

0.24)

76.52% (

-0.23)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.32% (

0.46)

18.68% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.98% (

0.76)

50.02% (

-0.75)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.46% (

-0.59)

45.54% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.64% (

-0.47)

81.36% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 58.62%

Union 17.34%

Draw 24.02%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Union
1-0 @ 14.27% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.97% Total : 58.62%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.02%	0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.48% Total : 17.34%