Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Union had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.