MX23RW : Friday, July 1 00:55:50| >> :600:213018:213018:
May 26, 2022 at 1am UK at Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol
2 - 1
Colon
Ceppelini (48'), Menosse (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Farias (32')
Goltz (38'), Delgado (58'), Teuten (90+4')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Penarol and Colon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 1-1 Colon
Saturday, June 4 at 4pm in Argentine Primera Division
Next Game: Colon vs. Union
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Penarol 1-1 Colon

Having already secured progress into the next round of the Copa Libertadores, the away side can afford to take their foot off the gas a bit, although they will still be keen to cement top spot in the group. We expect an open and end-to-end affair with both teams settling for a point apiece come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Colon had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Colon win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawColon
43.81% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 26.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 30.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)52.2% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)73.91% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)23.7% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)57.82% (0.058 0.06)
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)31.8% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)68.23% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 43.8%
    Colon 30.05%
    Draw 26.13%
PenarolDrawColon
1-0 @ 10.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 43.8%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.53% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.05%

How you voted: Penarol vs Colon

Penarol
43.8%
Draw
18.8%
Colon
37.5%
16
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 11.15pm
Colon
2-1
Penarol
Miguel Rodriguez (31'), Farias (90')
Delgado (51'), Bernardi (90+2')
Ceppelini (69')
Arias (80')

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