Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Jun 20, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Barracas Central
1 - 3
Boca Juniors

Bandiera (45+2')
Glaby (24'), Tapia (58'), Arce (90+1'), Paz (90+2'), Rincon (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Villa (42'), Fernandez (59'), Zeballos (68')
Benedetto (7'), Rojo (10'), Advincula (63'), Zeballos (90+2'), Vasquez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Barracas Central and Boca Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barracas Central

Last Game: Barracas Central 1-2 Union
Wednesday, June 15 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

Boca Juniors

Last Six:

Last Game: Boca Juniors 5-3 Tigre
Thursday, June 16 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	River Plate	13	18	26
4	Boca Juniors	13	6	24
5	Defensa y Justicia	12	7	22

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 52.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.37%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Barracas Central	Draw	Boca Juniors
21.92% ( 0.14)	25.68% ( -0.01)	52.39% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 46.5% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.98% (

0.17)

56.02% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.89% (

0.14)

77.1% (

-0.14)

Barracas Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.19% (

0.24)

40.81% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.61% (

0.21)

77.38% (

-0.22)

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.56% (

0.01)

21.43% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.55% (

0.02)

54.44% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Barracas Central 21.92%

Boca Juniors 52.39%

Draw 25.68%

Barracas Central	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.24% Total : 21.92%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 13.47% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.37% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 52.39%