Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 19, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
1 - 5
River Plate

Peralta (79')
Machuca (41'), Luna Diale (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (16'), Fernandez (59'), Alvarez (73', 90+5'), Palavecino (87')
de la Cruz (43'), Perez (45+1'), Herrera (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-2 Union
Wednesday, June 15 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: Colon 1-0 River Plate
Wednesday, June 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Union had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawRiver Plate
28.71% (1.769 1.77)27.37% (0.059000000000001 0.06)43.92% (-1.826 -1.83)
Both teams to score 47.66% (0.935 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.51% (0.649 0.65)57.49% (-0.649 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.71% (0.512 0.51)78.29% (-0.512 -0.51)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (1.792 1.79)35.59% (-1.791 -1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (1.804 1.8)72.35% (-1.805 -1.81)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (-0.624 -0.62)26% (0.625 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.85 -0.85)61.02% (0.849 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Union 28.71%
    River Plate 43.92%
    Draw 27.36%
UnionDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 6.65% (0.354 0.35)
2-0 @ 4.94% (0.346 0.35)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.225 0.23)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 28.71%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.25% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 12.46% (-0.54 -0.54)
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.524 -0.52)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.308 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.92%

How you voted: Union vs River Plate

Union
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
River Plate
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 10.15pm
Union
1-0
River Plate
Luna Diale (58' pen.)
Juarez (64'), Britez (66')

Martinez (26'), Gomez (34'), Armani (57'), Casco (60')
Jul 25, 2021 10pm
River Plate
4-0
Union
Romero (12'), Suarez (34'), De La Cruz (61'), Diaz (65')
Suarez (42')

Carlos Portillo (81')
Feb 10, 2020 12.45am
Union
1-2
River Plate
Bou (47')
Blasi (85')
Fernandez (55'), Rojas (65')
Martinez (15'), Borre (58'), Quintero (89')
Jan 24, 2019 12am
River Plate
1-2
Union
Quintero (89')
Fernandez (45'), Sibille (49'), Ferreira (81')
Fragapane (37' pen.), Zabala (73')
Fernandez (44'), Fragapane (90')