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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 19, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
1 - 5
River Plate

Peralta (79')
Machuca (41'), Luna Diale (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (16'), Fernandez (59'), Alvarez (73', 90+5'), Palavecino (87')
de la Cruz (43'), Perez (45+1'), Herrera (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Barracas Central 1-2 Union
Wednesday, June 15 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

River Plate

Last Six:
Last Game: Colon 1-0 River Plate
Wednesday, June 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Union 1-1 River Plate

 Looking at past results between the sides, we anticipate a thrilling contest with plenty of goalmouth action. While Union will be looking to build on Wednesday's victory, we predict the visitors will do just enough to force a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Union had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawRiver Plate
28.71% (1.769 1.77) 27.37% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 43.92% (-1.826 -1.83)
Both teams to score 47.66% (0.935 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.51% (0.649 0.65)57.49% (-0.649 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.71% (0.512 0.51)78.29% (-0.512 -0.51)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (1.792 1.79)35.59% (-1.791 -1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (1.804 1.8)72.35% (-1.805 -1.81)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74% (-0.624 -0.62)26% (0.625 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.85 -0.85)61.02% (0.849 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Union 28.71%
    River Plate 43.92%
    Draw 27.36%
UnionDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 6.65% (0.354 0.35)
2-0 @ 4.94% (0.346 0.35)
3-1 @ 2.29% (0.225 0.23)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 28.71%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 9.25% (-0.232 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 12.46% (-0.54 -0.54)
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.524 -0.52)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.308 -0.31)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.92%

How you voted: Union vs River Plate

Union
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
River Plate
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 10.15pm
Union
1-0
River Plate
Luna Diale (58' pen.)
Juarez (64'), Britez (66')

Martinez (26'), Gomez (34'), Armani (57'), Casco (60')
Jul 25, 2021 10pm
River Plate
4-0
Union
Romero (12'), Suarez (34'), De La Cruz (61'), Diaz (65')
Suarez (42')

Carlos Portillo (81')
Feb 10, 2020 12.45am
Union
1-2
River Plate
Bou (47')
Blasi (85')
Fernandez (55'), Rojas (65')
Martinez (15'), Borre (58'), Quintero (89')
Jan 24, 2019 12am
River Plate
1-2
Union
Quintero (89')
Fernandez (45'), Sibille (49'), Ferreira (81')
Fragapane (37' pen.), Zabala (73')
Fernandez (44'), Fragapane (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield26139436162048
2TalleresTalleres2613943324948
3HuracanHuracan261210428161246
4River PlateRiver Plate261110538201843
5Racing ClubRacing26134941301143
6Boca Juniors2611873023741
7IndependienteIndependiente2691252517839
8UnionUnion2611692726139
9Atletico TucumanTucuman2610792627-137
10Independiente Rivadavia2610792325-237
11Instituto26106103128336
12Platense269981918136
13EstudiantesEstudiantes2681173432235
14BelgranoBelgrano2681173230235
15LanusLanus2681172528-335
16Deportivo Riestra2681082627-134
17Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2671182827132
18GimnasiaGimnasia2688102122-132
19TigreTigre2671092630-431
20Central CordobaC. Cordoba2687112934-531
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2671092733-631
22Rosario CentralRosario2678112529-429
23San Lorenzo2678112025-529
24Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2685132026-629
25Sarmiento26510111727-1025
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2667131934-1525
27BanfieldBanfield2658132135-1423
28Barracas Central26410121230-1822
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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