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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Jul 25, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
4 - 0
Union

Romero (12'), Suarez (34'), De La Cruz (61'), Diaz (65')
Suarez (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between River Plate and Union.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Union had a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawUnion
53.88%24.03%22.08%
Both teams to score 51.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.48%49.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.45%71.55%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7%18.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.63%49.37%
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03%36.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24%73.76%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 53.87%
    Union 22.08%
    Draw 24.03%
River PlateDrawUnion
1-0 @ 11.48%
2-0 @ 9.76%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 5.52%
3-1 @ 5.5%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 53.87%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.76%
2-2 @ 4.83%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.73%
1-2 @ 5.69%
0-2 @ 3.35%
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.6%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 22.08%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2020 12.45am
Gameweek 19
Union
1-2
River Plate
Bou (47')
Blasi (85')
Fernandez (55'), Rojas (65')
Martinez (15'), Borre (58'), Quintero (89')
Jan 24, 2019 12am
Gameweek 12
River Plate
1-2
Union
Quintero (89')
Fernandez (45'), Sibille (49'), Ferreira (81')
Fragapane (37' pen.), Zabala (73')
Fernandez (44'), Fragapane (90')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
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10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
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20Southampton1512121131-205


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