Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 20, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
2 - 1
Santa Fe

Angileri (3'), Alvarez (6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Osorio (73')
Osorio (60'), Giraldo (60'), Luis Ramos (64'), Moralez Rocha (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and Santa Fe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Santa Fe had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Santa Fe win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River PlateDrawSanta Fe
48.59%24.63%26.77%
Both teams to score 54.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16%47.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.98%70.02%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26%19.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.24%51.76%
Santa Fe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.01%31.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.55%68.44%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 48.59%
    Santa Fe 26.77%
    Draw 24.63%
River PlateDrawSanta Fe
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 9.47%
2-0 @ 8.31%
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-0 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 48.59%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 6.31%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.2%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 4.1%
1-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 2.05%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 26.77%

How you voted: River Plate vs Santa Fe

River Plate
37.5%
Draw
25.0%
Santa Fe
37.5%
8