Fluminense
2 - 1
Santa Fe

Fred (60'), Paulista (77')
Claro (56'), Braz (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

David Gonzalez Nino (58')
Moralez Rocha (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Fluminense and Santa Fe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Santa Fe had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.29%), while for a Santa Fe win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Santa Fe
53.46%	28.22%	18.32%

Both teams to score 35.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.81%

67.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.6%

85.39%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.16%

25.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.19%

60.81%

Santa Fe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.53%

51.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.35%

85.65%

Score Analysis

Fluminense 53.44%

Santa Fe 18.32%

Draw 28.21%

Fluminense	Draw	Santa Fe
1-0 @ 17.99% 2-0 @ 12.17% 2-1 @ 8.09% 3-0 @ 5.49% 3-1 @ 3.65% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.23% 3-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.75% Total : 53.44%	0-0 @ 13.29% 1-1 @ 11.95% 2-2 @ 2.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 28.21%	0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 3.97% 0-2 @ 2.93% Other @ 2.58% Total : 18.32%