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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 15, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
1 - 1
Argentinos Jrs

Suarez (10')
Perez (36'), Girotti (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hauche (40')
Hauche (43'), Quintana (49'), Florentin (69'), Mac Allister (76'), Coronel (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between River Plate and Argentinos Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.29%) and 2-0 (5.25%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawArgentinos Juniors
39.7%23.1%37.19%
Both teams to score 64.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.62%36.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.48%58.52%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15%18.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.7%50.3%
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80%20%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.81%52.19%
Score Analysis
    River Plate 39.7%
    Argentinos Juniors 37.19%
    Draw 23.1%
River PlateDrawArgentinos Juniors
2-1 @ 8.45%
1-0 @ 6.29%
2-0 @ 5.25%
3-1 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 39.7%
1-1 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 6.8%
0-0 @ 3.77%
3-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 8.15%
0-1 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 4.37%
2-3 @ 3.65%
0-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.76%
2-4 @ 1.47%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 37.19%

How you voted: River Plate vs Argentinos Jrs

River Plate
37.5%
Draw
29.2%
Argentinos Juniors
33.3%
24
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2021 12.30am
Dec 13, 2020 10.20pm
Fase Campeon
River Plate
1-1
Argentinos Jrs
Alvarez (28' pen.)
Rojas (22'), Sosa (44'), Pratto (63'), Carrascal (77')
Coronel (66')
Romero (15'), A. Chavez (27')
Jul 28, 2019 12am
Argentinos Jrs
1-1
River Plate
Batallini (19')
Hauche (8'), Silva (23'), Torren (49')
Andres Carrascal (85')
Zuculini (17'), Rollheiser (19'), De La Cruz (31'), Lopez (42'), Casco (52')
Aug 26, 2018 12am
Gameweek 3
River Plate
0-0
Argentinos Jrs
Pinola (9'), Maidana (78')
Torren (9'), Machin (52'), Mac Allister (55')
rhs 2.0
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