We said: Boca Juniors 1-0 Banfield
With everything to play for at the Copa Libertadores, next Tuesday, do not expect Battaglia to yield his strongest squad for this encounter.
That being said, even some of the Boca Juniors reserves are more than capable of getting the job done against a side which should not trouble them much in the attacking third, while there is still enough quality for Xeneizes to earn three points on Friday.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.