Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 27, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)

Corinthians
2 - 0
Boca Juniors

Maycon (5', 78')
Fagner (32'), Augusto (33'), Queiroz (36'), Gustavo (37'), Victor (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Medina (37'), Benedetto (63'), Fabra (74'), Agustin Aranda (86'), Aranda (86')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Corinthians and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

Last Six:

Last Game: Boca Juniors 2-1 Arsenal
Sunday, June 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Next Game: C. Cordoba vs. Boca Juniors
Monday, June 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	River Plate	13	18	26
4	Boca Juniors	13	6	24
5	Defensa y Justicia	12	7	22

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Boca Juniors
37.22%	25.66%	37.12%

Both teams to score 55.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.33%

48.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.22%

70.78%

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.47%

25.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.61%

60.38%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42%

25.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.54%

60.46%

Score Analysis

Corinthians 37.22%

Boca Juniors 37.12%

Draw 25.66%

Corinthians	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 8.92% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.58% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.22%	1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.77% 0-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.12%