Copa Libertadores
Apr 27, 2022 1.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
  • Maycon 5' goal
  • Fagner 32' yellowcard
  • Renato Augusto 33' yellowcard
  • Du Queiroz 36' yellowcard
  • Raul Gustavo 37' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 63' yellowcard
  • Maycon 78' goal
  • yellowcard Cristian Medina 37'
  • yellowcard Dario Benedetto 63'
  • yellowcard Frank Fabra 74'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Agustin Aranda 86'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Aranda 86'

Corinthians vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 14, 2022 1.00am
Corinthians 1 - 0 Deportivo Cali

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 12, 2022 11.15pm
Boca Juniors 2 - 0 Always Ready

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result

Corinthians 37.22%
Draw 25.66%
Boca Juniors 37.12%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.42%

Goals

Over 2.5 51.33%
Under 2.5 48.66%
Over 3.5 29.22%
Under 3.5 70.78%

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 74.47%
Under 0.5 25.53%
Over 1.5 39.61%
Under 1.5 60.38%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 74.42%
Under 0.5 25.58%
Over 1.5 39.54%
Under 1.5 60.46%

Score analysis

Corinthians 37.22%
Draw 25.66%
Boca Juniors 37.12%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 8.92%
2-1 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 6.09%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-0 @ 2.77%
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 37.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 6.53%
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.66%
Boca Juniors
0-1 @ 8.9%
1-2 @ 8.29%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 3.77%
0-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.57%
1-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 37.12%