Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Mineiro.