Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.