MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 17:53:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 10, 2022 at 10pm UK
Mineirão
Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 0
Sao Paulo


Hulk (88')
FT

Vinicius (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 4-1 Catolica
Friday, July 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Sao Paulo

Despite the quality that both teams possess in the attack, we anticipate this will be a cagey affair as Sao Paulo like to keep things tight and are not as aggressive away from home, while Mineiro tend to take some time to settle into a match. Galo always seem to find a way to get the job done on their home field, and having an extra couple of days to rest should be enough to see them narrowly defeat Tricolor Paulista. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 20.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
54.26% (0.026000000000003 0.03) 24.91% (0.309 0.31) 20.84% (-0.327 -0.33)
Both teams to score 47.29% (-1.314 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.74% (-1.51 -1.51)54.26% (1.516 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (-1.274 -1.27)75.66% (1.28 1.28)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (-0.575 -0.58)19.97% (0.582 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.87% (-0.939 -0.94)52.13% (0.945 0.95)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.08% (-1.204 -1.2)40.92% (1.209 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.52% (-1.093 -1.09)77.48% (1.099 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 54.25%
    Sao Paulo 20.84%
    Draw 24.91%
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.16% (0.54 0.54)
2-0 @ 10.6% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.7% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 54.25%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.472 0.47)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.185 -0.19)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 7.3% (0.191 0.19)
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 20.84%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
80.8%
Draw
19.2%
Sao Paulo
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2021 1am
Jun 13, 2021 8pm
Dec 17, 2020 12.30am
Sao Paulo
3-0
Atletico Mineiro
Gomes (25'), Sara (84'), Toro (90+1')
Tche (68'), Alves (70')
Sep 4, 2020 12am
Oct 27, 2019 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo430110469
2Atletico Mineiro42207168
3BragantinoBragantino32105327
4Bahia42116517
5FlamengoFlamengo42114407
6Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR32015236
7Gremio42024316
8InternacionalInternacional32013216
9CriciumaCriciuma31206245
10FortalezaFortaleza21103214
11Fluminense31115504
12PalmeirasPalmeiras31111104
13JuventudeJuventude311146-24
14Cruzeiro311146-24
15Sao Paulo31025413
16Vasco da GamaVasco410349-53
17Vitoria201123-11
18Corinthians301203-31
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO300316-50
20Cuiaba300308-80


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!