/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fsaoplog.png)
-
Luciano
14'
-
Eder
45'+5'
-
Eder
55'
-
Joao Moreira
59'
-
Rodriguinho
81'
-
Fernando Zampedri
69'
-
Nehuen Paz
87'
-
Jose Pedro Fuenzalida
88'
-
Jose Pedro Fuenzalida
89'
Sao Paulo vs Universidad Catolica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F17%2Fsaoren.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 13.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.04%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.73%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Sao Paulo Goals
Universidad Catolica Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 14.04%
2-1 @ 8.63% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.57% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.65%
4-0 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 61.78%
1-1 @ 10.66%
2-2 @ 2.65%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 3.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 13.85%
Head to Head
-
Daniel Enrique Gonzalez Orellana
12'
-
Daniel Gonzalez
12'
-
Fernando Zampedri
47'
-
Fernando Zampedri
84'
-
Diego Valencia
85'
-
Reinaldo
15'
-
Igor Vinicius
23'
-
Luciano
28'
-
Luciano
39'
-
Igor Vinicius
51'
-
Jonathan Calleri
55'
-
Andre Anderson
60'
-
Jonathan Calleri
63'
-
Rodrigo Nestor
73'
-
Reinaldo
77'
-
Jonathan Calleri
87'
-
Luciano
88'
-
Pablo Maia
90'+2'