Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 13.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.04%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.73%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Universidad Catolica
61.79% ( 0.01)	24.35% ( -0)	13.85% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 36.78% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.58% (

-0)

61.41% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.69%

81.3% (

-0)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.16% (

19.83% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.08% (

0.01)

51.92% (

-0.01)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.89% (

-0.01)

54.11% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.66% (

-0.01)

87.34% (

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 61.78%

Universidad Catolica 13.85%

Draw 24.35%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 17.36% 2-0 @ 14.04% 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.57% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.65% 4-0 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.43% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.17% Total : 61.78%	0-0 @ 10.73% 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 2.65% Other @ 0.31% Total : 24.35%	0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 13.85%