MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 20:33:53| >> :60:224:224:
Sao Paulo
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 8, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
4 - 1
Catolica

Luciano (14'), Eder (45+5' pen.), Moreira (59'), Rodriguinho (81')
Eder (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pedro Fuenzalida (88')
Zampedri (69'), Paz (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Sao Paulo and Universidad Catolica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Sao Paulo
Sunday, July 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Universidad Catolica

Last Six:
    Last Game: Catolica 2-4 Sao Paulo
    Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    We said: Sao Paulo 2-1 Universidad Catolica

     With the deficit they are facing, Universidad have no choice but to take chances to try to claw their way back into this tie. That should allow Sao Paulo to do what they did in the opener, catch the Chileans on the break, a tactic they executed to near perfection last Thursday. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 13.85%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.04%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.73%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

    Result
    Sao PauloDrawUniversidad Catolica
    61.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.35% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 13.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
    Both teams to score 36.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    38.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)61.41% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    18.69%81.3% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
    Sao Paulo Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    80.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)19.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    48.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)51.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
    Universidad Catolica Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    45.89% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)54.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    12.66% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)87.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    Score Analysis
        Sao Paulo 61.78%
        Universidad Catolica 13.85%
        Draw 24.35%
    Sao PauloDrawUniversidad Catolica
    1-0 @ 17.36%
    2-0 @ 14.04%
    2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
    3-0 @ 7.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    3-1 @ 4.65%
    4-0 @ 3.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
    4-1 @ 1.88%
    3-2 @ 1.43%
    5-0 @ 0.99%
    Other @ 2.17%
    Total : 61.78%
    		0-0 @ 10.73%
    1-1 @ 10.66%
    2-2 @ 2.65%
    Other @ 0.31%
    Total : 24.35%
    		0-1 @ 6.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    1-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
    Other @ 1.96%
    Total : 13.85%

    How you voted: Sao Paulo vs Catolica

    Sao Paulo
    88.2%
    Draw
    11.8%
    Universidad Catolica
    0.0%
    17
    Head to Head
    Jul 1, 2022 1.30am
    Catolica
    2-4
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    Gonzalez (12'), Zampedri (84')
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    Vinicius (23'), Calleri (55'), Anderson (60'), Reinaldo (77'), Luciano (88'), Maia (90+2')
    Vinicius (51'), Nestor (73'), Calleri (87')
    rhs 2.0
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