Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 15.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Universidad Catolica
61.83% ( 0)	22.94% ( -0)	15.23% ( 0)

Both teams to score 43.13% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.47% (

0.03)

54.53% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.12% (

0.02)

75.88% (

-0.02)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.76% (

0.01)

17.24% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.46% (

0.02)

47.54% (

-0.02)

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.11% (

0.02)

47.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.85% (

0.02)

83.15% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 61.82%

Universidad Catolica 15.23%

Draw 22.93%

Flamengo	Draw	Universidad Catolica
1-0 @ 14.51% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.3% Total : 61.82%	1-1 @ 10.68% 0-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.93%	0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.24% 1-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 15.23%