MX23RW : Sunday, June 26 08:55:58| >> :600:2773170:2773170:
May 18, 2022 at 1.30am UK at Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Flamengo
3 - 0
Catolica
Arao (7'), Ribeiro (39'), Pedro (90')
Pereira (2'), Matheuzinho (3'), Arao (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Astudillo (29'), Gutierrez (42'), Tapia (71')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Universidad Catolica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bragantino 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, June 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Internacional vs. Flamengo
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Catolica 0-1 Talleres
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Catolica vs. Sao Paulo
Friday, July 1 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Flamengo 2-0 Universidad Catolica

Flamengo have so far enjoyed an unbeaten campaign and will be looking to secure their place in the knockout stages. Universidad Catolica, meanwhile, have struggled to grind out results, managing just one win from their four games. We predict the Brazilian outfit will come away with all three points and heap more misery on the floundering visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 15.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Universidad Catolica win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawUniversidad Catolica
61.83% (0.0039999999999978 0) 22.94% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 15.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 43.13% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47% (0.027000000000001 0.03)54.53% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (0.023 0.02)75.88% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (0.012999999999991 0.01)17.24% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46% (0.019999999999996 0.02)47.54% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.11% (0.020999999999994 0.02)47.89% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.85% (0.016000000000002 0.02)83.15% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 61.82%
    Universidad Catolica 15.23%
    Draw 22.93%
FlamengoDrawUniversidad Catolica
1-0 @ 14.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.75% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.48%
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-0 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 61.82%
1-1 @ 10.68%
0-0 @ 8.26% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 22.93%
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 3.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 2.24%
1-3 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 15.23%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Catolica

Flamengo
52.9%
Draw
29.4%
Universidad Catolica
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2022 11pm
Catolica
2-3
Flamengo
Isla (16' og.), Pablo (90+5' og.)
Leiva (17'), Galani (54'), Ballesteros (74')
Gutierrez (86')
Barbosa (8', 35'), Lazaro (85')
Arao (34'), Marinho (68')

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