Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 14, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
Catolica0 - 1Palmeiras
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.02%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 29.71% | 21.74% | 48.55% |
| Both teams to score 67.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
