Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 14, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
Catolica0 - 1Palmeiras
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.02%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 29.71% | 21.74% | 48.55% |
| Both teams to score 67.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.78% | 32.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.17% | 53.83% |
| Universidad Catolica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% | 21.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.72% | 55.28% |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.16% | 13.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.78% | 41.21% |
| Score Analysis |
Universidad Catolica 29.71%
Palmeiras 48.55%
Draw 21.74%
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 2-1 @ 6.91% 1-0 @ 4.61% 2-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.38% Total : 29.71% | 1-1 @ 9.12% 2-2 @ 6.83% 0-0 @ 3.04% 3-3 @ 2.27% Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-1 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 5.94% 2-3 @ 4.5% 0-3 @ 3.92% 1-4 @ 2.94% 2-4 @ 2.23% 0-4 @ 1.94% 1-5 @ 1.16% 3-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.83% Total : 48.55% |
How you voted: Catolica vs Palmeiras
Universidad Catolica
29.9%Draw
9.2%Palmeiras
60.9%87


