Copa Libertadores
May 27, 2021 3.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo
  • Luciano Aued 9' goal
  • Diego Valencia 22' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Saavedra 36' yellowcard
  • Marcelino Nunez 52' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Andres Perez Kirby 67' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Perez 67' yellowcard
  • Diego Valencia 79' goal
  • Tomas Astaburuaga 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yerson Candelo 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Brayan Rovira 68'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Hernandez 71'

Universidad Catolica vs Atletico Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 18, 2021 11.15pm
Nacional 1 - 0 Catolica

Atletico Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 20, 2021 11.00pm
Argentinos Jrs 1 - 0 Atletico Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.

Result

Universidad Catolica 50.1%
Draw 22.14%
Atletico Nacional 27.76%

Both Teams to Score: 

64.16%

Goals

Over 2.5 64.4%
Under 2.5 35.6%
Over 3.5 42.34%
Under 3.5 57.66%

Universidad Catolica Goals

Over 0.5 85.44%
Under 0.5 14.56%
Over 1.5 57.39%
Under 1.5 42.61%

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 75.1%
Under 0.5 24.91%
Over 1.5 40.48%
Under 1.5 59.53%

Score analysis

Universidad Catolica 50.1%
Draw 22.14%
Atletico Nacional 27.76%
Universidad Catolica
2-1 @ 9.36%
1-0 @ 6.99%
2-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 6.01%
3-0 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 4.18%
4-1 @ 2.9%
4-0 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 2.01%
5-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 50.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 6.51%
0-0 @ 3.63%
3-3 @ 1.94%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.14%
Atletico Nacional
1-2 @ 6.75%
0-1 @ 5.04%
0-2 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 1.62%
1-4 @ 1.09%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 27.76%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 23, 2021 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Andres Andrade 39' goal
  • Brayan Rovira 41' yellowcard
  • Jefferson Duque 45' goal
  • yellowcard Fernando Zampedri 50'
  • yellowcard Valber Huerta 83'
  • yellowcard Baldomero Perlaza 90'+1'