Copa Libertadores
Apr 28, 2021 11.00pm
4
4
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Gonzalo Bergessio 12' goal
  • Emiliano Martinez 17' yellowcard
  • Guzman Corujo 42' redcard
  • Leandro Fernandez 45'+4' goal
  • Gonzalo Bergessio 51' goal
  • Gonzalo Bergessio 64' goal
  • Maximiliano Cantera 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jarlan Barrera 8'
  • yellowcard Yerson Mosquera 44'
  • goal Andres Andrade 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Duque 57'
  • yellowcard Danovis Banguero 71'
  • goal Renzo Orihuela 74' (OG)
  • goal Jarlan Barrera 85'
  • yellowcard Alex Castro 90'+3'

Nacional vs Atletico Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 20, 2021 11.15pm
Argentinos Jrs 2 - 0 Nacional

Atletico Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 23, 2021 1.00am
Atletico Nacional 2 - 0 Catolica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 46.29%
Draw 23.37%
Atletico Nacional 30.34%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.54%

Goals

Over 2.5 60.15%
Under 2.5 39.84%
Over 3.5 37.79%
Under 3.5 62.2%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 82.47%
Under 0.5 17.52%
Over 1.5 51.95%
Under 1.5 48.04%

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 74.61%
Under 0.5 25.38%
Over 1.5 39.81%
Under 1.5 60.19%

Score analysis

Nacional 46.29%
Draw 23.37%
Atletico Nacional 30.34%
Nacional
2-1 @ 9.25%
1-0 @ 7.75%
2-0 @ 6.75%
3-1 @ 5.37%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 3.68%
4-1 @ 2.34%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 46.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.62%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.45%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.37%
Atletico Nacional
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-1 @ 6.1%
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 30.34%