Libertad
1 - 0
Atletico Nacional

Baez (78')
Barboza (45'), Baez (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Banguero (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Club Libertad and Atletico Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 47%. A win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Atletico Nacional win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Club Libertad in this match.

Result
Club Libertad	Draw	Atletico Nacional
47%	25.12%	27.87%

Both teams to score 53.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.83%

49.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.76%

71.24%

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.05%

20.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.31%

53.69%

Atletico Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.17%

31.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.73%

68.27%

Score Analysis

Club Libertad 47%

Atletico Nacional 27.87%

Draw 25.12%

Club Libertad	Draw	Atletico Nacional
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 9.33% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.58% Total : 47%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 7.63% 1-2 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.04% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.87%