Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
2 - 0
Nacional

Avalos (25'), Herrera (88')
Gomez (15'), Moyano (36'), Quintana (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Candido (17'), D'Alessandro (35'), Corujo (45+3'), Bergessio (48'), Fernandez (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Argentinos Juniors and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawNacional
37.16%25.49%37.34%
Both teams to score 56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.08%47.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.91%70.09%
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78%25.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04%59.95%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88%25.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19%59.81%
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 37.16%
    Nacional 37.34%
    Draw 25.49%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawNacional
1-0 @ 8.72%
2-1 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 6.01%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-0 @ 2.76%
3-2 @ 2.64%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 0.95%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 37.16%
1-1 @ 12.05%
0-0 @ 6.33%
2-2 @ 5.74%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 3.84%
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.64%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 0.96%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.34%

How you voted: Argentinos Jrs vs Nacional

Argentinos Juniors
28.6%
Draw
14.3%
Nacional
57.1%
7
rhs 2.0


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