Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Mar 13, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Jardines del Hipodromo

Danubio
2 - 1
Nacional

Siri (41'), Mendez (90+1')
Mendez (21'), Monzon (29'), Ichazo (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vecino (23')
Vecino (37'), Corujo (44'), Orihuela (50')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 55.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.85%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
DanubioDrawNacional
18.7%26.21%55.09%
Both teams to score 40.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.99%61.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19%81%
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.73%47.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.31%82.69%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.63%22.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14%55.86%
Score Analysis
    Danubio 18.7%
    Nacional 55.08%
    Draw 26.2%
DanubioDrawNacional
1-0 @ 7.92%
2-1 @ 4.44%
2-0 @ 2.97%
3-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 18.7%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 3.33%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 15.83%
0-2 @ 11.85%
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-3 @ 5.92%
1-3 @ 4.44%
0-4 @ 2.22%
2-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 55.08%