Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Argentinos Juniors and Arsenal Sarandi.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 41.43% | 28.71% | 29.85% |
| Both teams to score 44.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.3% | 61.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.48% | 81.51% |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% | 29.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.69% | 65.3% |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.02% | 36.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.23% | 73.76% |
| Score Analysis |
Argentinos Juniors 41.43%
Arsenal Sarandi 29.85%
Draw 28.7%
| Argentinos Juniors | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 1-0 @ 13.3% 2-0 @ 8.16% 2-1 @ 8.12% 3-0 @ 3.34% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.51% Total : 41.43% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.7% | 0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 5.37% 1-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.81% Total : 29.85% |


